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Methodology

How AletheiaAI produces a verdict

Every verdict starts from the same question: does the market’s story about this company survive contact with what the company actually filed? Narratives are checked against primary sources — exchange disclosures, annual reports, SEBI and NCLT orders, earnings materials — and the evidence is cited on every claim.

The two scores

Truth confidence · 0–100
How well the claim is supported
High means the primary record directly supports the claim. Low means the record contradicts it or no verifiable source exists.
Narrative distortion · 0–100
How inflated the framing is
High means the story stretches, omits, or misframes what the documents show — even if some underlying fact is true.

The two scores are deliberately separate. A headline can rest on a true fact and still be a distorted story — and a messy, unpopular narrative can be well supported by the filings. Each verdict also labels the item signal or noise, and states its confidence level explicitly.

What the verdict examines

01
Source authority

What the primary documents say. Exchange filings (NSE/BSE), annual reports, SEBI orders, NCLT filings, and earnings materials outrank broker notes, which outrank news reports, which outrank social media. A claim supported only by unnamed sources scores low.

02
Claim specificity

Whether the narrative makes a checkable claim. "Margins expanded 180bps in Q3" can be verified against the results filing. "Massive turnaround underway" cannot — vague claims are flagged as unverifiable rather than scored as true.

03
Contradiction check

Whether anything in the primary record cuts against the story — auditor qualifications, contingent liabilities, related-party transactions, promoter pledge changes, resignations, or regulatory actions the headline omits.

04
Omission check

What the narrative leaves out. A headline about record revenue that ignores a one-time gain, or a growth story that ignores receivables ballooning faster than sales, gets marked down for what's missing, not just what's wrong.

05
Distortion patterns

Known narrative-inflation patterns — cherry-picked time windows, percentage growth off a tiny base, conflating order pipeline with revenue, quoting market size instead of company traction. Detected patterns are listed on the verdict.

06
Signal vs. noise

Whether the item changes the investment picture at all. Much of daily market news is noise — repackaged PR, routine disclosures, price commentary. Each item is explicitly labelled signal or noise so attention goes where it matters.

The pipeline

From headline to published verdict, every item follows the same four steps — so the output is consistent whether the company is loved, hated, or ignored by the market.

1
Ingest

Market narratives are collected continuously — exchange announcements, corporate disclosures, regulatory orders, earnings materials, and financial news across sectors.

2
Trace to primary sources

Each claim is traced back to the documents that could confirm or refute it: the company's own filings on NSE/BSE, its annual report, SEBI/NCLT records, and earnings call materials. If no primary source exists, the verdict says so.

3
Score

The claim receives a truth-confidence score and a narrative-distortion score, each out of 100, plus a structured breakdown: what holds up, what's missing, what's misleading, and the alternative read.

4
Publish with evidence

The verdict is published with its evidence chain — the specific filings and sources behind it — so any reader can verify the reasoning independently rather than trust the output.

What AletheiaAI does not do

·We do not give buy/sell recommendations or price targets — we assess whether a narrative is supported by evidence. Investment decisions stay yours.
·We do not use price movement as proof a story is true. Stocks move on stories all the time; the filing record is the reference, not the tape.
·We do not publish claims we cannot trace to a source. If the primary record is silent, the verdict says 'unverifiable' rather than guessing.
·We do not delete or quietly edit past verdicts. Being checkable after the fact is the point.
·We do not take payment from covered companies for coverage or verdicts.

See the methodology in action

Read today’s reality check — the day’s market headlines scored against the filings behind them — or start from the screener.